After almost two years of disruption, there are encouraging signs that global container shipping is beginning to return to a more familiar pattern. Leading ocean carriers Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd have announced plans to gradually resume services through the Red Sea and Suez Canal, marking what could be the beginning of a significant shift for international trade.

While the move is being introduced cautiously and security concerns remain under constant review, the decision could have a positive impact on shipping capacity, transit times and freight costs for businesses across the UK.

Why Were Shipping Routes Changed?

Since late 2023, commercial vessels have largely avoided the Red Sea after attacks on merchant ships created serious security risks for international shipping. To protect vessels, cargo and crew, many of the world’s largest container lines diverted their services around the Cape of Good Hope at the southern tip of Africa.

Although this alternative route ensured goods continued to move, it came at a considerable cost.

Sailing around Africa typically adds between 10 and 14 days to journeys between Asia and Europe, depending on the service. Longer voyages increase fuel consumption, crew costs and vessel operating expenses while reducing the number of round trips each ship can complete throughout the year.

The result was reduced global shipping capacity, higher freight rates and greater pressure on already stretched supply chains.

Why Are Carriers Returning Now?

Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd, operating together through the Gemini Cooperation, have confirmed they are beginning a gradual return to the Suez Canal following detailed security assessments. Rather than reopening every service immediately, the transition will be phased, allowing the carriers to monitor conditions closely before expanding operations further.

This measured approach reflects the reality that although the security outlook has improved, the region remains sensitive. Shipping companies continue to prioritise the safety of their crews and vessels while balancing the need to restore more efficient global trade routes. Other carriers are expected to closely monitor the situation before making similar decisions.

What Goods Have Been Most Affected?

The disruption to Red Sea shipping has impacted a huge range of industries, with businesses across the UK experiencing longer lead times, increased freight costs and greater uncertainty over deliveries. Some of the products most affected include:

  • Consumer electronics and electrical goods
  • Automotive parts and components
  • Industrial machinery and manufacturing equipment
  • Furniture and homeware
  • Clothing, footwear and textiles
  • Construction materials
  • Chemicals and industrial products
  • Food ingredients and packaged goods

For many manufacturers, delays have affected more than just finished products. Essential components arriving late can slow production schedules, increase storage costs and create challenges for meeting customer deadlines.

Retailers have also faced difficulties managing stock levels, particularly during seasonal peaks when reliable shipping schedules are essential. Many businesses have responded by ordering goods earlier or increasing inventory levels to protect against future disruption, tying up valuable working capital in the process.

As shipping routes begin to normalise, businesses may gradually regain greater confidence in planning stock levels and forecasting delivery schedules.

Not Every Shipping Line Is Returning

Although Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd have announced a gradual return to the Red Sea and Suez Canal, not every container carrier is expected to follow immediately.

Each shipping line carries out its own security assessments and operational planning before deciding which routes to use. Factors such as crew safety, vessel schedules, customer demand and insurance requirements all play an important role in these decisions. Some carriers may continue using the Cape of Good Hope route for certain services until they are confident that conditions remain stable, while others may adopt a mixed approach depending on the destination or type of cargo.

For importers and exporters, this means transit times and freight costs may continue to vary between carriers for some time. Choosing the right shipping service will remain just as important as selecting the right departure date.

What Could This Mean for Global Supply Chains?

The return of more vessels through the Suez Canal has the potential to improve several areas of international shipping.

Shorter Transit Times

For many Asia-Europe services, returning to the Suez Canal significantly reduces voyage times compared with sailing around southern Africa.

This means businesses could receive stock sooner, helping improve inventory management and reducing the need to carry large amounts of safety stock.

Route Approximate Transit Time Distance Impact
Via Suez Canal 25–35 days Shortest Faster deliveries, lower fuel consumption
Around Cape of Good Hope 35–45+ days Approximately 3,500–4,000 nautical miles longer Higher costs, longer lead times, reduced vessel capacity

Increased Shipping Capacity

When vessels complete voyages more quickly, they become available for their next journey sooner.

As more ships return to their normal schedules, additional capacity enters the market, helping ease pressure on container availability during busy shipping periods.

Greater Schedule Reliability

One of the biggest frustrations for importers over recent years has been unpredictable arrival times.

Although no shipping route is immune from disruption, restoring shorter and more direct services should improve schedule consistency across many trade lanes.

Potential Pressure on Freight Rates

Freight prices have remained elevated due to longer sailing distances and limited vessel capacity.

As more services return to the Suez Canal and shipping capacity improves, market analysts expect freight rates to become more competitive over time. However, any reductions are likely to happen gradually rather than overnight, particularly as demand remains strong across many global markets.

Will Freight Rates Fall?

One of the biggest questions for importers is whether the reopening of the Red Sea will lead to lower freight costs.

The answer is that market conditions are likely to improve, but any reduction in freight rates is expected to happen gradually rather than immediately.

The longer route around southern Africa significantly reduced the effective capacity of the global container fleet, as vessels spent more time completing each voyage. As more ships return to the shorter Suez Canal route, carriers should be able to operate more efficiently, increasing available capacity across key trade lanes.

However, freight rates are influenced by many factors beyond sailing distance alone. Global demand, fuel prices, port congestion, vessel availability and seasonal shipping peaks all continue to affect pricing.

Businesses should therefore expect freight rates to remain dynamic over the coming months, even as market conditions begin to stabilise.

Working closely with an experienced freight forwarder can help businesses understand changing market conditions and identify the most cost-effective shipping options as they become available.

The Continuing Role of Insurance and Security Costs

While the decision to resume Red Sea transits is a positive development, shipping through the region still carries additional considerations.

Many vessels travelling through higher-risk areas remain subject to enhanced security procedures and war-risk insurance premiums. These additional costs can still influence the overall price of transporting goods, even if transit times become shorter.

Shipping lines will continue to monitor advice from international maritime authorities, insurers and regional security experts before making further operational decisions.

For customers, this means that while conditions are improving, the transition back to normal trading patterns is expected to be gradual rather than immediate.

The Wider Ripple Effect on Global Supply Chains

The disruption in the Red Sea has highlighted just how interconnected today’s supply chains have become.

When vessels were diverted around southern Africa, the impact extended far beyond Europe and the Middle East. Longer voyages meant ships spent more time at sea, reducing the number of journeys they could complete each year and placing additional pressure on global container availability.

This created a ripple effect across international shipping networks, contributing to equipment shortages, port congestion and changing vessel schedules in regions far removed from the Red Sea itself.

Even businesses importing goods from countries outside the affected region often experienced delays as carriers adjusted services, repositioned containers and balanced capacity across their global networks.

As more vessels begin returning to the Suez Canal, these wider pressures may gradually ease, helping improve schedule reliability and the overall efficiency of international supply chains.

What Does This Mean for UK Businesses?

For UK importers and exporters, the developments are encouraging but should be viewed with cautious optimism.

Many businesses importing products from China, Southeast Asia and other Asian manufacturing hubs have experienced longer lead times, increased shipping costs and ongoing uncertainty over delivery schedules. A gradual return to the Red Sea route could help businesses:

  • Reduce overall shipping times.
  • Improve stock planning and inventory management.
  • Lower transport costs as market conditions stabilise.
  • Increase confidence when forecasting future deliveries.
  • Support stronger customer service through more reliable supply chains.

Exporters may also benefit from improved vessel availability and more efficient connections to international markets.

However, businesses should remember that shipping remains a dynamic industry. Changes in geopolitical conditions, port congestion, seasonal demand and weather events can all continue to influence global freight movements.

Planning Ahead Remains Essential

Although the outlook is improving, flexibility remains one of the most valuable tools for supply chain management.

Businesses should continue reviewing lead times, maintaining regular communication with logistics providers and planning shipments well in advance where possible.

Working with an experienced freight forwarding partner allows businesses to react quickly if market conditions change again.

How Hawley Logistics Can Help

International shipping rarely stands still, and navigating changing market conditions requires experience, industry knowledge and proactive communication.

At Hawley Logistics, we work closely with trusted global carrier networks to monitor developments across international trade routes and identify the most efficient shipping solutions for every customer.

Whether you’re importing containers from Asia, exporting goods worldwide or managing complex multimodal supply chains, our experienced team can help you:

  • Select the most suitable shipping routes.
  • Manage changing transit schedules.
  • Optimise freight costs.
  • Plan shipments around evolving market conditions.
  • Receive regular updates throughout your cargo’s journey.

Our goal is simple: to help businesses keep goods moving efficiently while minimising disruption wherever possible.

Looking Ahead

The announcement from Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd represents one of the strongest indications yet that confidence is beginning to return to one of the world’s most important shipping corridors.

While a full return to pre-2023 operating conditions is unlikely to happen immediately, the gradual reopening of the Red Sea route is a positive step towards greater stability for global supply chains.

For UK businesses, it offers renewed opportunities to improve efficiency, reduce uncertainty and strengthen long-term supply chain resilience.

As international shipping continues to evolve, Hawley Logistics will remain committed to helping customers navigate every change with confidence, providing reliable freight solutions and expert support every step of the way.